Blog Posts - June 2014

The Morning After: CA Post Primary Election Analysis for State Races

By Tom Del Beccaro, on Jun 4, 2014

Follow me on Twitter:  @tomdelbeccaro  Listed As One of The Top 25 CA  Conservatives on Twitter

CA Post Primary Election Analysis:

  • Overall - The CA Top 2 Open Primary (pushed by Arnold and Abel Maldonado) wreaked its havoc June 3rd.  I fought against the measure because (1) it disenfrachises 3rd parties (they will have no one on the ballot this fall - meaning hundreds of thousands of 3rd party voters were disenfranchised by Prop 14 - Fla was decided by 35,000 chads), (2) Incumbents tend to do better because large primaries place a premium on $ and name ID, (3) It results in many Fall races with no choice between the parties (see below), and (4) lack of overall choice leads to less voter particpation.  The June 3rd results demonstrate just that.
  • 26 of the 80 CA Assembly seats have already been won by one party or the other (32.5% of the seats) 17 for Democrats/8 for Republicans - 2 more are possible for Democrats as the vote count continues. 14 of those 25 were uncontested races.